Yail Bloor Wrote:
druucifer Wrote:
i'm curious why you think this won't hurt anyone next year (seeing as how you're actually involved in politics) while i was but a youngster when the gop was swept into power in 94, i've read oodles of recent pieces pointing out that corruption problems with the dems had a lot to do with it. and i've been a little bit heartened to see honest republicans distancing themselves from the boosh/delay/frist machine...
but perhaps i just need some edumacatin', please do clarify.
I'll stab: Your premise is correct, the so-called Republican Revolution in 1994 was successful in large part because the Democrats had become too fat and happy after years (save the Senate '81-'86) of Congressional dominance. This kind of dominance usually breeds corruption and pork spending ("tax and spend liberals" if you will) The Dems also suffered from a horrendous lack of leadership at the time. Clinton had been elected President but no one at the national level had any intentions of turning over any national party power to the Clintons at that point (they were looking like sub-Carter failures at the time)
The pattern is repeating itself with one exception. The Republicans in power have proven the power corrupts ethos once again by spending money like drunken sailors and peddling their asses to the highest bidder.
The exception is leadership. In '94 the Repubs had Gingrich (who had served as Minority Whip) to lead the so-called Revolution and assemble the fundraising and hierarchecal structure necessary to get this done.
The Dems don't have this (and as I heard David Gergen and Pat B. complain last night----neither do the Repubs) kind of leadership or structure right now.
So all things being equal, the incumbents will most likely keep more seats than they lose.
There's this, and there's the credibility gap. And there's the partition.
We have entered a through the looking glass post-Watergate era wherein nothing that Democrats say is believed, so it really doesn't matter.
The Senate is closer to competitive, you may see Dems take 3-4 seats (I haven't handicapped it, but the Rs are having trouble recruiting for races they would win in 'normal years' i.e. Florida, ND) The House is so gerrymandered there really is no hope, and many of the candidates being fielded are from the B team, because 10 years of Republican gains leaves your bench short.
In my mind the main problem is that the Dems still JUST DON'T GET IT. Not to call anyone out, but the shit that Borg and scottycash and whomever else prattle on about is precisely the shit that no turns average people off. You can't just tell people that faggots deserve to get married and that unions deserve the right to organize: You gotta organize the unions who will then fight for your side. And gay marriage is the worst issue ever and will remain an albatross everywhere it is on the ballot.
I think the main problem is the Dems' desire to "Take Back the House," motherfucker you've been out the house so long they have repainted it, re arranged the furniture, and the teenagers are openly fucking where your parenst bedroom used to be. This is akin to me driving up to 617 Longer Dr. and asking if I can move back in. It is backwards looking and counterproductive. They are trying to fit a square peg into a round hole, and it just ain't gonna work. The New Deal Coalition CANNOT and probably SHOULD NOT be put back together...look for another way to build a governing coalition, and look for other ideas about how to make government work.
I could be wrong, there is a possibility that all dems will have to do this year is "not be the other guy" but I just don't see it.
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Throughout his life, from childhood until death, he was beset by severe swings of mood. His depressions frequently encouraged, and were exacerbated by, his various vices. His character mixed a superficial Enlightenment sensibility for reason and taste with a genuine and somewhat Romantic love of the sublime and a propensity for occasionally puerile whimsy.
harry Wrote:
I understand that you, of all people, know this crisis and, in your own way, are working to address it. You, the madras-pantsed julip-sipping Southern cracker and me, the oldman hippie California fruit cake are brothers in the struggle to save our country.
FT Wrote:
LooGAR (the straw that stirs the drink)