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 Post subject: Oscar Prediction Thread
PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 7:07 pm 
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Predictions in bold
Should Win & Should Have Been Nominated included


Best Picture:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich

Should Win: Good Night, and Good Luck
Should Have Been Nominated: A History of Violence


Best Director:
George Clooney
Paul Haggis
Ang Lee
Bennett Miller
Steven Spielberg

Should Win: Ang Lee
Should Have Been Nominated: David Cronenberg (seeing a theme here?)


Best Actress:
Judi Dench
Felicity Huffman
Keira Knightley
Charlize Theron
Reese Witherspoon

Should Win: Reese Witherspoon
Should Have Been Nominated: Joan Allen


Best Actor:
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Terrence Howard
Heath Ledger
Joaquin Phoenix
David Strathairn

Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Should Have Been Nominated: Viggo Mortensen


Best Supporting Actor:
George Clooney
Matt Dillon
Paul Giamatti
Jake Gyllenhaal
William Hurt

Should Win: George Clooney


Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams
Catherine Keener
Frances McDormand
Rachel Weisz
Michelle Williams

Should Win: Rachel Weisz
Should Have Been Nominated: Mario Bello


Best Original Screenplay:
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Match Point
The Squid and the Whale
Syriana

Should Win: Syriana


Best Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
The Constant Gardener
A History of Violence
Munich

Should Win: A History of Violence


Best Animated Film:
Howl's Moving Castle
Corpse Bride
Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit

Should Win: Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit


Best Original Song:
In the Deep (Crash)
It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp (Hustle and Flow)
Travelin' Thru (Transamerica)

Should Win: It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp


Best Foreign-Language Film:
Don't Tell (Italy)
Joyeux Noel (France)
Paradise Now (Palestine)
Sophie Scholl: The Final Days (Germany)
Tsotsi (South Africa)

Should Win: Paradise Now
Should Have Been Nominated: Cache (France), Oldboy (Korea)


Best Documentary:
Darwin's Nightmare
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
March of the Penguins
Murderball
Street Fight

Should Win: Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
Should Have Been Nominated: Grizzly Man


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PostPosted: Thu Mar 02, 2006 7:53 pm 
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Location: Oshawa, Ontario, Canada
Basically, all I care is that Hoffman wins Best Actor.

And all I know is that Brokeback's going to win Best Picture.


I have next to no interest in any of the movies up for nomination. And that's all in all the categories.


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 Post subject: Re: Oscar Prediction Thread
PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:22 am 
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KILLFILED

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 8:14 pm
Posts: 15027
Location: There n' here.
huskerpunk Wrote:
Predictions in bold
Should Win & Should Have Been Nominated included


Best Picture:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich

Should Win: Crash
Should Have Been Nominated: Off the Map


Best Director:
George Clooney
Paul Haggis
Ang Lee
Bennett Miller
Steven Spielberg

Should Win: Ang Lee
Should Have Been Nominated: Walter Salles


Best Actress:
Judi Dench
Felicity Huffman
Keira Knightley
Charlize Theron
Reese Witherspoon

Should Win: Keira Knightley
Should Have Been Nominated: Joan Allen (for Off the Map)


Best Actor:
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Terrence Howard
Heath Ledger
Joaquin Phoenix
David Strathairn

Should Win: Heath Ledger
Should Have Been Nominated:


Best Supporting Actor:
George Clooney
Matt Dillon
Paul Giamatti
Jake Gyllenhaal
William Hurt

Should Win: Jake Gyllenhaal


Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams
Catherine Keener
Frances McDormand
Rachel Weisz
Michelle Williams

Should Win: Michelle Williams
Should Have Been Nominated:


Best Original Screenplay:
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Match Point
The Squid and the Whale
Syriana

Should Win: Syriana


Best Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
The Constant Gardener
A History of Violence
Munich

Should Win: The Constant Gardener


Best Animated Film:
Howl's Moving Castle
Corpse Bride
Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit

Should Win: Howl's Moving Castle


Best Original Song:
In the Deep (Crash)
It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp (Hustle and Flow)
Travelin' Thru (Transamerica)

Should Win: It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp


Best Foreign-Language Film:
Don't Tell (Italy)
Joyeux Noel (France)
Paradise Now (Palestine)
Sophie Scholl: The Final Days (Germany)
Tsotsi (South Africa)

Should Win: Paradise Now
Should Have Been Nominated: Kontroll (Hungary) (if it were an '05 release)


Best Documentary:
Darwin's Nightmare
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
March of the Penguins
Murderball
Street Fight

Should Win: Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
Should Have Been Nominated:


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:25 am 
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A True Aristocrat of Freedom

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Brokebutt had picture and director locked

Reese SHOULD win best actress, which means Felicity Huffman takes it.

Phil Sy Hoffman takes the cake, cos he just IS Capote,

Dunno about supporting

The rest DON'T MATTER.

(remember, I won last year's bash, and some folks still owe me mixes...and I still listen to Marco and Max's regularly)

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Throughout his life, from childhood until death, he was beset by severe swings of mood. His depressions frequently encouraged, and were exacerbated by, his various vices. His character mixed a superficial Enlightenment sensibility for reason and taste with a genuine and somewhat Romantic love of the sublime and a propensity for occasionally puerile whimsy.
harry Wrote:
I understand that you, of all people, know this crisis and, in your own way, are working to address it. You, the madras-pantsed julip-sipping Southern cracker and me, the oldman hippie California fruit cake are brothers in the struggle to save our country.

FT Wrote:
LooGAR (the straw that stirs the drink)


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:26 am 
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Location: Richmond, VA
I predict that Jon Stewart might actually be funny. Then again, he sucked when he hosted the Grammys that one time.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:28 am 
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What was Giamatti nominated for?


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:34 am 
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Cupid is my bitch Wrote:
What was Giamatti nominated for?


The phone-thrower's boxing movie.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:42 am 
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So they will make up for the Sideways snub with a win there?


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 2:46 am 
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I predict I won't watch it.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 3:10 am 
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Death

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Location: STL
I predict I will watch it thanks to my girlfriend, and not give a shit because I haven't seen a single one of those flicks.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 3:30 am 
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Posts: 3052
I have yet to see Good Night and Good Luck. But Capote, Crash, and Munich were way better films than Brokeback.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 3:37 am 
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Joined: Tue Dec 14, 2004 11:43 pm
Posts: 12275
Location: The Already, Not Yet.
Predictions in bold

I think this is going to be a *yawn* year where everything is predictable. No surprises. I also think that there won't be another rap song as best song.



Best Picture:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich


Best Director:
George Clooney
Paul Haggis
Ang Lee
Bennett Miller
Steven Spielberg


Best Actress:
Judi Dench
Felicity Huffman
Keira Knightley
Charlize Theron
Reese Witherspoon


Best Actor:
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Terrence Howard
Heath Ledger
Joaquin Phoenix
David Strathairn


Best Supporting Actor:
George Clooney
Matt Dillon
Paul Giamatti
Jake Gyllenhaal
William Hurt


Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams
Catherine Keener
Frances McDormand
Rachel Weisz
Michelle Williams



Best Original Screenplay:
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Match Point
The Squid and the Whale
Syriana



Best Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
The Constant Gardener
A History of Violence
Munich


Best Animated Film:
Howl's Moving Castle
Corpse Bride
Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit


Best Original Song:
In the Deep (Crash)
It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp (Hustle and Flow)
Travelin' Thru (Transamerica)


Best Foreign-Language Film:
Don't Tell (Italy)
Joyeux Noel (France)
Paradise Now (Palestine)
Sophie Scholl: The Final Days (Germany)
Tsotsi (South Africa)


Best Documentary:
Darwin's Nightmare
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
March of the Penguins
Murderball
Street Fight

_________________
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Baltimore is a town where everyone thinks they’re normal, but they’re totally insane. In New York, they think they’re crazy, but they’re perfectly normal. --John Waters
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PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 11:14 am 
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Garage Band

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Posts: 596
Location: Richmond, VA
Who is going to do "It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp", anyway?

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 11:42 am 
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Self-Released 7-Inch
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Pink Eye'd Vincent Wrote:
Who is going to do "It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp", anyway?


Three Six Mafia, and they said they will clean it up for TV.


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 11:42 am 
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Cupid is my bitch Wrote:
So they will make up for the Sideways snub with a win there?


That's my prediction anyway.


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PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:41 pm 
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I don't think Giamatti will take it. The feelings about Cinderella Man these days amongst critics is that the excitement for it has waned. Which may end up hurting his chances. Sadly.

I get the feeling Clooney will walk away with the best supporting actor.

This year is the most predictable year if you ask me. And slightly boring film-wise.

All I care about is Reese winning Best Actress. Love, love her and want to see her take it.

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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Fri Mar 03, 2006 1:45 pm 
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A True Aristocrat of Freedom

Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 11:46 am
Posts: 22121
Location: a worn-out debauchee and drivelling sot
huskerpunk Wrote:
Pink Eye'd Vincent Wrote:
Who is going to do "It's Hard Out Here For A Pimp", anyway?


Three Six Mafia, and they said they will clean it up for TV.


Seriously? I would pay good money to just follow them REAL STREET around before and after the ceremony.

They should come out, start that and then go into "Hit a Motherfucker!!"

Oh, and the boxing movie was great, except for fucking Zellweger, who should get her sag card revoked for that fucking olive-oil accent. YELCH!!

_________________
Throughout his life, from childhood until death, he was beset by severe swings of mood. His depressions frequently encouraged, and were exacerbated by, his various vices. His character mixed a superficial Enlightenment sensibility for reason and taste with a genuine and somewhat Romantic love of the sublime and a propensity for occasionally puerile whimsy.
harry Wrote:
I understand that you, of all people, know this crisis and, in your own way, are working to address it. You, the madras-pantsed julip-sipping Southern cracker and me, the oldman hippie California fruit cake are brothers in the struggle to save our country.

FT Wrote:
LooGAR (the straw that stirs the drink)


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Mar 05, 2006 9:49 pm 
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Hipster Backlash
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:05 pm
Posts: 2964
Location: A Very Red State
Best Picture:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Munich

Should Win: Capote
Should Have Been Nominated: Hustle and Flow


Best Director:
George Clooney
Paul Haggis
Ang Lee
Bennett Miller
Steven Spielberg

Should Win: Miller



Best Actress:
Judi Dench
Felicity Huffman
Keira Knightley
Charlize Theron
Reese Witherspoon

Should Win: Reese Witherspoon


Best Actor:
Philip Seymour Hoffman
Terrence Howard
Heath Ledger
Joaquin Phoenix
David Strathairn

Should Win: Philip Seymour Hoffman
Should Have Been Nominated: Eric Bana


Best Supporting Actor:
George Clooney
Matt Dillon
Paul Giamatti
Jake Gyllenhaal
William Hurt

Should Win: George Clooney
Should've Been Nominated: Pierce Brosnan


Best Supporting Actress:
Amy Adams
Catherine Keener
Frances McDormand
Rachel Weisz
Michelle Williams

Should Win: Amy Adams---it's a crime if she doesn't win
Should Have Been Nominated: Laura Linney


Best Original Screenplay:
Crash
Good Night, and Good Luck
Match Point
The Squid and the Whale
Syriana

Should Win: Syriana



Best Adapted Screenplay:
Brokeback Mountain
Capote
The Constant Gardener
A History of Violence
Munich

Should Win: Capote


Best Animated Film:
Howl's Moving Castle
Corpse Bride
Wallace and Gromit: The Curse of the Were-Rabbit

Should Win: Howl's Moving Castle


Best Original Song:
In the Deep (Crash)
It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp (Hustle and Flow)
Travelin' Thru (Transamerica)

Should Win: It's Hard Out Here for a Pimp


Best Foreign-Language Film:
Don't Tell (Italy)
Joyeux Noel (France)
Paradise Now (Palestine)
Sophie Scholl: The Final Days (Germany)
Tsotsi (South Africa)

Should Have Been Nominated: Head-On (Germany)


Best Documentary:
Darwin's Nightmare
Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
March of the Penguins
Murderball
Street Fight

Should Win: Enron: The Smartest Guys in the Room
Should Have Been Nominated: Grizzly Man


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PostPosted: Sun Mar 05, 2006 9:55 pm 
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Posts: 6384
Location: red wing
I wish I'd seen one movie in theatres last year, let alone one nominated for an Oscar.


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 Post subject:
PostPosted: Sun Mar 05, 2006 10:29 pm 
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Hipster Backlash
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Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 12:05 pm
Posts: 2964
Location: A Very Red State
Will win: 0-1
Should win: 1-1


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PostPosted: Sun Mar 05, 2006 11:34 pm 
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What's up with these categories with only 3 nominees?


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PostPosted: Mon Mar 06, 2006 1:32 am 
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Hipster Backlash
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Posts: 2964
Location: A Very Red State
10-12 predicted---damn, why didn't we bet CD's this year.


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