Predictions! Election 2012.

seafoam · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:47 pm

toots Wrote:

i'm pretty confident in an O win, but i'm pretty shook up about thought of a recount

Yeah, please no recount. I would prefer a definitive O win.

catswilleatyou · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:47 pm

Cap'n Squirrgle Wrote:

Bringing an Excel model on my laptop to the party tonight, letting you plug in states as they're called and then modeling the remaining paths for either candidate, along with likelihoods.

I like to picture the party getting crazy and raising you and your spreadsheet up on their shoulders. KYY-UL!! KYY-UL!!

toots · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:48 pm

catswilleatyou · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:51 pm

also, to be clear. i am not mocking you cap'n. i think geeky spreadsheets are awesome.

Rick Derris · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 1:58 pm

I was envisioning him entering in the data at different points of the evening and then slowly raising his hand..........as a hush falls over the room............"we're at 186"...........*cheers*.

Later........a slowly raised hand........."the next President will be.............Barack Obama". *cheers*

Then, your scenario plays out with the spreadsheet.

And to be clear....I AM mocking.

seafoam · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:10 pm

Oh Yeah, Tri-Lambs having a Paaarty! :rawk:

Sketch · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:22 pm

seafoam Wrote:

Sketch Wrote:

Black Magic Putin Wrote:

they say that Obama is pulling ahead in Virginia but it doesn't look that way from the ground

Based on my drives in central/western Florida the past two weeks, I should give Florida to Romney (hundreds of Romey lawn signs, not one for Obama).

That and SouthEast Fla is Romney country for the most part.

I had suspected that based on the Faith & Freedom Coalition encounter (see CHH thread). Loogar, as usual, brought it home with his post.

Cap'n Squirrgle · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 2:23 pm

Rick Derris Wrote:

I was envisioning him entering in the data at different points of the evening and then slowly raising his hand..........as a hush falls over the room............"we're at 186"...........*cheers*.

Later........a slowly raised hand........."the next President will be.............Barack Obama". *cheers*

Then, your scenario plays out with the spreadsheet.

And to be clear....I AM mocking.

... be surprised if I'm the only one, knowing this crowd.

catswilleatyou · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 4:51 pm

pie chart! pie chart!

Yail Bloor · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 4:57 pm

Cap'n Squirrgle Wrote:

Rick Derris Wrote:

I was envisioning him entering in the data at different points of the evening and then slowly raising his hand..........as a hush falls over the room............"we're at 186"...........*cheers*.

Later........a slowly raised hand........."the next President will be.............Barack Obama". *cheers*

Then, your scenario plays out with the spreadsheet.

And to be clear....I AM mocking.

... be surprised if I'm the only one, knowing this crowd.

I got the raised eyebrow from someone this weekend when I casually mentioned I had run hundreds of possible scenarios on RCP in my spare time.

What's weird and sad is that I told myself I wasn't going to get sucked into this election and I did anyway. Some habits never die.

Cap'n Squirrgle · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 5:00 pm

Real question is: Will there be holograms?

Head Gardener · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 5:06 pm

Rick Derris · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 5:22 pm

Well played.

nobody · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 6:37 pm

I will chime in to say the polling place in my neighborhood was packed and Romney votes in my neck of the woods are rare. Sadly, the state as a whole is pretty red.

Stop Breathin' · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 7:27 pm

Empire State Building = Vatican

rogneeb · **Joined:** Mon Oct 25, 2004 1:07 pm **Posts:** 12618

i guess Dalen is out supressing the black vote in Dade County today?

Stop Breathin' · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 7:42 pm

I did the mock swing state vote map yesterday. Mine actually came up to a flatfooted tie.

Stop Breathin' · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:11 pm

Scary scenario here. I know it's far-fetched, but not outside the realm of possiblity:

If, the electoral vote ends 269-269
If, there are no rogue electors
This leads to incoming House choosing POTUS with one vote per state: slam dunk for Romney
Incoming Senate chooses VP. If, Dems hold majority, likely Biden chosen VP

Odds of Presidential assassination within three months in this scenario?

rogneeb · **Joined:** Mon Oct 25, 2004 1:07 pm **Posts:** 12618

I'd enjoy the shit out of that mess

discostu · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:17 pm

Stop Breathin' Wrote:

Scary scenario here. I know it's far-fetched, but not outside the realm of possiblity:

If, the electoral vote ends 269-269
If, there are no rogue electors
This leads to incoming House choosing POTUS with one vote per state: slam dunk for Romney
Incoming Senate chooses VP. If, Dems hold majority, likely Biden chosen VP

Odds of Presidential assassination within three months in this scenario?

I'm worried that if Barry wins some Crazy will try it. I was afraid when he won in '08, but if he wins a 2nd term, it'll go beyond CHH for many and into some seriously maniac territory. Of course that's only if Honey Boo Boo reruns aren't on.

TheTheory · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 8:52 pm

Psh. They can't shoot him. If they do, Biden will become president and they'd hate that more.

bort · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 11:44 pm

Should I be worried at this point, or is it too early to be worried?

catswilleatyou · **Posted:** Tue Nov 06, 2012 11:55 pm

you can start partying IMHO

Cupcakes · **Joined:** Sat Nov 12, 2005 12:04 am **Posts:** 3271

The tone of discussion and statistics favor Obama.

catswilleatyou · **Posted:** Wed Nov 07, 2012 12:30 am

Jerkass Wrote:

The tone of discussion and statistics favor Obama. and partying

Predictions! Election 2012.

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