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PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 6:12 pm 
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I wonder if he brought his shotgun

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I tried to find somebody of that sort that I could like that nobody else did - because everybody would adopt his group, and his group would be _it_; someone weird like Captain Beefheart. It's no different now - people trying to outdo ! each other in extremes. There are people who like X, and there are people who say X are wimps; they like Black Flag.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 6:26 pm 
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Kingfish Wrote:
neuroboy Wrote:
ok, wait a second. tony fratto (a white house spokesperson) just said this:

Quote:
With respect to executive pay, again, I'm not going to get into specific, point-by-point details on what our views are on that, other than the Secretary of Treasury said it would make [it] more difficult to make this plan work and effective if you provide disincentives for companies and firms out there who are holding mortgage-backed securities and other securities from participating in the program. You have to remember, these are not all weak or troubled firms that own mortgage-backed securities. A lot of them are very successful banks and investment houses that have done very well, have been responsible, are holding performing assets that have value. They were not necessarily irresponsible players, and so you have to be careful about how you deal with them.


a) executive compensation necessarily only holds for those taking part in the bailout. right?

b) why the hell would they include successful banks in the bailout "that have done very well" in the first place?

c) disincentive to participation? how about "if you don't participate everything coupld fall like a house of cards". . . that's not incentive enough?

. . . which begs the bigger question. isn't this just rewarding bad behavior while the "successful" banks that didn't take on reckless amounts of risk are at a competitive disadvantage by not being able to partake in the big tough of money that's potentially being dished out?

and is the economy really that close to freezing up? the more i learn about this plan the less i like it. . . am i way off base here? someone want to edu-macate me?


I'm on board with all your thoughts on this.


Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs are "successful" banks, yet Morgan Stanley's stock lost 50% of its market value on the same day it announced earnings that beat street estimates. I'm not going to claim to be an expert on their balance sheets but what I hear from people more in the know than I am is that they don't have near the problems that Bear Stearns, Merrill or Lehman had. If they are truly sound, why do they need help? is a good question. They sure look like they are very troubled though from a market reaction perspective. At least part of the problem here is that no one really has a handle on what these mortgage securities on their balance sheet are worth and in a panic situation, everyone assumes the worst. I still haven't decided exactly what i think of this bailout.

I don't really get the CEO compensation issue though. For the most part, CEOs are going to make a lot more money when their firms are successful. The bigger issue is in how traders are compensated based on volume without regard to the risks that they are taking on for their firms. When their firms get in trouble, they aren't giving back any bonuses received. The CEO's options and stock sure drop in value though. To me, that issue is a big red herring meant to score political points more than fix anything.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 6:38 pm 
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Kingfish Wrote:
I wonder if he brought his shotgun


funny your should say that because apparently some fox news guys were saying they hoped he was bringing his rifle because he's "going before the firing squad".

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PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 6:43 pm 
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Kingfish Wrote:
billy g Wrote:
thrillhouse Wrote:
this administration likes to use a crisis to do some crazy shit that they have always wanted to do because it is easy to get unpopular shit done when everyone agrees that something has to be done immediately.


true but that's what every administration does...this administration has just had more crisises and thus more opportunities for mischief.

for many more examples, see:

Image


Is this based off of Hobbes's Leviathan?


I didn't mean to ignore your question tanner. I'm not sure exactly how to answer in part because my memory of hobbes and this book are a little vague.

I'm sure he's grabbing the term Leviathan from Hobbes with the same meaning of a enormous government entity with many powers. He argues that government has grown through a series of crisis (whether financial or military) when the people ceded more power to the government. When the crisis is averted the power ceded never completely goes away. Its in line with hobbes in that he recognizes that the power is granted by social contract. I don't remember enough about hobbes to know whether he was as bothered by the growth as Higgs is, but its seems in line with Higgs explanation for how the US government has grown in size and power over our history.

I read this in college so my memory is very vague. He might even talk about Hobbes but I don't recall. I repurchased it a few years ago with the intention to re-read it in light of how I think we've lost a lot of liberties after 9/11 but I haven't gotten around to doing so.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 6:55 pm 
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Thanks Billy. If I get some spare time, I want to read it.

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I tried to find somebody of that sort that I could like that nobody else did - because everybody would adopt his group, and his group would be _it_; someone weird like Captain Beefheart. It's no different now - people trying to outdo ! each other in extremes. There are people who like X, and there are people who say X are wimps; they like Black Flag.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 6:58 pm 
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Kingfish Wrote:
Thanks Billy. If I get some spare time, I want to read it.


As a warning, I remember it being very dry. I think my tolerance for that was probably much less in college than it is now.


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PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 8:10 pm 
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 Post subject: Re: The bailout: 32 words
PostPosted: Tue Sep 23, 2008 8:54 pm 
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mugwump67 Wrote:
From the current proposal:
Quote:
Decisions by the Secretary pursuant to the authority of this Act are non-reviewable and committed to agency discretion, and may not be reviewed by any court of law or any administrative agency.

I think I'm gonna throw up.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/09/2 ... 28294.html


F that. Frank and Dodd are not going to allow such nonsense.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 12:41 am 
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saint Wrote:
Frank and Dodd are not going to allow such nonsense.


let's hope not. this whole "you have 7 days to give it the thumbs up or thumbs down" line is total b.s. same shit they did with the patriot act. . . they should turn it around on bush by adding what they feel are the necessary additions and pressure *him* to sign it. then if he vetoes it they can say "george, why do you hate america?"

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 1:42 am 
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ha ha ha

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:02 am 
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that's awesome

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PostPosted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 2:09 pm 
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bwahhaaah...i love that.


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PostPosted: Wed Sep 24, 2008 11:07 pm 
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Can someone explain the details of this plan to me? It sounds like the plan is to have the government buy the bad debt from the banks. Doesn't this mean that the government would own these bad mortgages? And doesn't that mean that the government will eventually be foreclosing on defaulter's homes?

That doesn't sound very good at all. I don't wanna be the president when THAT happens.

How the hell is this thing really supposed to work?

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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 1:06 am 
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I understand a few things about politics, but I've never understood a single thing about economics or how it works. Therefore, I'm going to keep pretending like everything is fine until someone comes out and says what the problem is and how it changes my life.


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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 1:25 am 
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If you continue to shit in a hole, the hole will eventually fill up. Question is, how big are your bowels.

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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 3:29 am 
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Kingfish Wrote:
thrillhouse Wrote:
Kingfish Wrote:
thrillhouse Wrote:
Kingfish Wrote:
thrillhouse Wrote:
Kingfish Wrote:
PopTodd Wrote:
Executive privilege anyone?


How so?

Before I get obner jumped, I'm not advocating that this should be non-reviewable. In fact I"m against this bail out plan. Just curious of the connections you see.


because it prevents any oversight of the secretary of the treasury who is a member of the executive branch.


Do you really believe that Congress is going to hand over blind authority to the republican sec. of the treasury? Like I said I'm against this, but I'm really not concerned about some whole sale take over in violation of separation of powers. And if It came to that level, SCOTUS would review it.

I think more than anything else they want to have an immediate impact and not tie this up with unnecessary litigation.


they gave away their exclusive right to declare war. if they aren't protective of their most important function, why should i trust them to be cautious about this?


Don't think this is the same for obvious reasons. You're just being reactionary on purpose now.


it is exactly the same. there is a disaster. the white house wants a solution immediately. they will pressure congress to cede power. how is it different at all? it's exactly the same script.


Because the administration isnt feisting this agenda out of now where. They pretty much have to do something. The Iraq War (I'm assuming your not talking about the War Powers Act) was completely driven by this administration and not by popular support. It had popular support but wasn't created by it. Not to mention this is a Democrat Congress with a lame duck president in an election year.


Something...yes. Just not even close to what Bush, Paulson and Bernake are trying to strong arm down the American public's throat.


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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 8:22 am 
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Guys, we need this bailout. Suck it up and take it like men.

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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 8:51 am 
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Yail Bloor Wrote:
Guys, we need this bailout. Suck it up and take it like men.
I don't know that I do. Someone's gotta be willing to hold my 30-year fixed, and my industry is pretty much recession-proof. Sing the song, boys!


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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 9:05 am 
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This guy is Black Putin Wrote:
Yail Bloor Wrote:
Guys, we need this bailout. Suck it up and take it like men.
I don't know that I do. Someone's gotta be willing to hold my 30-year fixed, and my industry is pretty much recession-proof. Sing the song, boys!


So you're never gonna buy another house or car again ever? Did you get everybody on your street a 30 year fixed mortgage and job's in "recession proof industry's as well? What if your company wants/needs to expand but can't get the capital to do so?

Congrats Crack, you've got it all before your 35th birthday: The world is your oyster.

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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 9:20 am 
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Yail Bloor Wrote:
This guy is Black Putin Wrote:
Yail Bloor Wrote:
Guys, we need this bailout. Suck it up and take it like men.
I don't know that I do. Someone's gotta be willing to hold my 30-year fixed, and my industry is pretty much recession-proof. Sing the song, boys!


So you're never gonna buy another house or car again ever? Did you get everybody on your street a 30 year fixed mortgage and job's in "recession proof industry's as well? What if your company wants/needs to expand but can't get the capital to do so?

Congrats Crack, you've got it all before your 35th birthday: The world is your oyster.
hey man I have a shitty job that'll be outsourced before ten/five years is up, but people need some harsh lessons about "Their Means" and what lies within that.


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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 11:43 am 
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I like how the supposed root of this mess is defined as "bad investments" and the fix is for the gov't to simply buy the bad investments. But isn't what really makes these investments bad is that they're made up of mortgages that people can't afford to pay? What if the gov't just guaranteed those mortgages?

no more unpaid mortgages = no more bad investments that need to be unloaded?

Now, I realize that guaranteeing thousands (millions?) of bad mortgages is could be twice as unwieldy as buying bad investments, but wouldn't it also provide a fix that not only helps the banks, but also immensely helps regular Americans?

Oh wait, that's too socialist, right? Un-American? And the gov't shouldn't bail out people who make bad decisions. No way.

Principals are great, aren't they?


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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 11:58 am 
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nacho Wrote:
I like how the supposed root of this mess is defined as "bad investments" and the fix is for the gov't to simply buy the bad investments. But isn't what really makes these investments bad is that they're made up of mortgages that people can't afford to pay? What if the gov't just guaranteed those mortgages?

no more unpaid mortgages = no more bad investments that need to be unloaded?

Now, I realize that guaranteeing thousands (millions?) of bad mortgages is could be twice as unwieldy as buying bad investments, but wouldn't it also provide a fix that not only helps the banks, but also immensely helps regular Americans?

Oh wait, that's too socialist, right? Un-American? And the gov't shouldn't bail out people who make bad decisions. No way.

Principals are great, aren't they?


What would be the incentive for anyone to pay their mortgages? I'm a little confused at your plan.

_________________
I tried to find somebody of that sort that I could like that nobody else did - because everybody would adopt his group, and his group would be _it_; someone weird like Captain Beefheart. It's no different now - people trying to outdo ! each other in extremes. There are people who like X, and there are people who say X are wimps; they like Black Flag.


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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 12:04 pm 
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Kingfish Wrote:
nacho Wrote:
I like how the supposed root of this mess is defined as "bad investments" and the fix is for the gov't to simply buy the bad investments. But isn't what really makes these investments bad is that they're made up of mortgages that people can't afford to pay? What if the gov't just guaranteed those mortgages?

no more unpaid mortgages = no more bad investments that need to be unloaded?

Now, I realize that guaranteeing thousands (millions?) of bad mortgages is could be twice as unwieldy as buying bad investments, but wouldn't it also provide a fix that not only helps the banks, but also immensely helps regular Americans?

Oh wait, that's too socialist, right? Un-American? And the gov't shouldn't bail out people who make bad decisions. No way.

Principals are great, aren't they?


What would be the incentive for anyone to pay their mortgages? I'm a little confused at your plan.


Gov't could make partial payments, based on income, family size, amount of monthly payments, etc. There could be penalties for people who don't pay their share. I don't think it'd be that hard to provide incentives. it's not like financial people can't be creative.

Another bailout alternative would be to come up with a way for people to re-fi or some other kind of redo of their current unpayable mortgages. Kinda like the half-assed plan passed a few months ago. Just make way more people eligible.


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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 12:08 pm 
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The whole thing is a fucking shuck. The rich will get richer, the poor will get shit on, the rest of us will be just like we are: working for bad pay to buy shit we don't need, just so our kids can speak Chinese in 2050.

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I understand that you, of all people, know this crisis and, in your own way, are working to address it. You, the madras-pantsed julip-sipping Southern cracker and me, the oldman hippie California fruit cake are brothers in the struggle to save our country.

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PostPosted: Thu Sep 25, 2008 12:09 pm 
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So you're going to fine people who are already having a hard time paying their mortgage if they don't pay their "share"?

What happens if people don't pay at all and don't pay their fines? The govenrment buys the debt and forecloses? Seems like you're right back to the Paulson plan with a bunch of added stuff.

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I tried to find somebody of that sort that I could like that nobody else did - because everybody would adopt his group, and his group would be _it_; someone weird like Captain Beefheart. It's no different now - people trying to outdo ! each other in extremes. There are people who like X, and there are people who say X are wimps; they like Black Flag.


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